Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 867.278790 987.969839 1125.530023 1295.250047 1500.859299 1744.278331 2057.879022
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 698.972834 853.057908 1046.207524 1311.225265 1673.800902 2165.705015 2908.172679
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 619.266034 787.695028 1011.498569 1340.160695 1827.998621 2556.847571 3797.015114
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 546.164953 716.313084 952.518574 1318.097426 1897.281549 2834.976692 4607.646022
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 502.638419 677.339145 929.564117 1339.209403 2029.423070 3238.341668 5785.461973
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 471.663542 651.301781 920.080439 1376.634472 2192.548811 3737.534170 7382.680885
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 439.228096 618.716342 895.287823 1383.122540 2300.312039 4161.985898 9045.570482
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 405.593554 580.481274 856.408162 1358.314808 2342.736554 4463.634020 10583.720892
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 385.256351 560.853748 845.072263 1379.827313 2479.587216 5017.626333 13237.185556
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 356.398101 524.843176 802.258229 1336.491968 2472.288980 5226.469300 14956.633155
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 332.650073 495.228347 767.435837 1303.485931 2480.666857 5479.566508 17075.647190
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 310.999459 467.434287 733.192104 1267.052925 2474.203437 5692.536124 19263.867156
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 302.012767 461.504028 739.421240 1317.692893 2695.961230 6693.811072 26683.471808
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 290.110149 449.752276 734.197520 1344.892059 2871.985131 7669.074625 36217.213617
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 279.468724 439.126267 729.618272 1372.213038 3055.962404 8788.384315 50076.926311
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 264.159319 418.932933 704.648479 1350.039902 3098.406892 9413.699710 62346.293599
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 255.005283 409.174754 699.059447 1371.696947 3274.921483 10720.101620 88630.814158
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 248.266147 403.295543 700.529806 1410.376602 3516.852272 12538.752818 137704.084987
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 238.979179 391.932119 689.671654 1417.069625 3659.908625 14020.543794 201429.732516
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 227.542394 375.718965 667.307848 1391.451502 3687.740416 14917.707811 268612.899618
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 221.077257 368.622309 663.548656 1413.667650 3892.999806 17120.938406 456678.541366
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 209.613239 351.106546 636.023148 1368.917970 3840.010593 17603.526431 585515.314738
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 199.805481 336.319241 613.387961 1334.844984 3820.710599 18345.018012 800195.911093